collections_bookmark Part of The Hobbit
Thranduil the Strategist card art
Live Play Data

Thranduil the Strategist

{3} {G} {U} · Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
103
Decks Running
50
Median Cast Turn
5
Drawn → Played
80%
Format

First-cast turn

n=49
2%
T1
10%
T2
8%
T3
29%
T4
24%
T5
22%
T6-9
4%
T10+
Median 5 P25 4 · P75 6 · max 15
On curve 73% (12 / 49 cast on T5)

The "good card" funnel

103 brought · 48 players
Brought to game
103
Ever drawn
25
Reached battlefield
20
Still on board at game end
11

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=20) , vs 14% when it never left the library (n=68).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +14.8pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +34.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

26 instances
7.7%
Library
42.3%
Battlefield
34.6%
Graveyard
3.8%
Exile
Card text
Thranduil the Strategist card

Thranduil the Strategist

{3} {G} {U}
Legendary Creature — Elf Noble
Other Elves you control have "{T}: Add {G} or {U}." Landfall — Whenever a land you control enters, create a 1/1 green Elf creature token.
4 / 4
The Hobbit Eternal (HOC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Justyna Dura

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.