Live Play Data

Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Star Trek Commander (TRC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

5140

Decks Running

2405

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=857

12%

11%

15%

43%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 23

On curve 12% (99 / 857 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

5149 brought · 1919 players

Brought to game

5149

Ever drawn

1223

Reached battlefield

857

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=770) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=3274).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=329).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval +0.3pp to +6.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1373 instances

2.8%

Library

2.1%

Battlefield

67.7%

Graveyard

10.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 205 decks
2 Fire Lord Azula 122 decks
3 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 111 decks
4 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 82 decks
5 Krenko, Mob Boss 80 decks
6 Sauron, the Dark Lord 61 decks
7 Kratos, God of War 48 decks
8 Jean-Luc Picard, Luminary 40 decks
9 Magar of the Magic Strings 39 decks
10 The Beamtown Bullies 36 decks

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Star Trek Commander (TRC) · Common · Illustrated by Julie Dillon

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.