Live Play Data

Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

4021

Decks Running

1940

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=663

10%

12%

13%

14%

40%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 22

On curve 13% (64 / 663 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

4024 brought · 1564 players

Brought to game

4024

Ever drawn

949

Reached battlefield

663

Still on board at game end

≥ +1.1pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=592) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=2555).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=256).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.7pp; 95% confidence interval +1.1pp to +8.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1069 instances

2.6%

Library

2.2%

Battlefield

67.4%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 152 decks
2 Fire Lord Azula 104 decks
3 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 91 decks
4 Krenko, Mob Boss 69 decks
5 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 66 decks
6 Sauron, the Dark Lord 59 decks
7 Kratos, God of War 45 decks
8 The Beamtown Bullies 33 decks
9 Magar of the Magic Strings 28 decks
10 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 26 decks

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Foundations (FDN) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.