Live Play Data

Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2847

Decks Running

1425

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=469

10%

12%

13%

14%

40%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 17

On curve 13% (45 / 469 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

2850 brought · 1170 players

Brought to game

2850

Ever drawn

670

Reached battlefield

469

Still on board at game end

≥ +1.0pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=425) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=1799).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=178).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.2pp; 95% confidence interval +1.0pp to +9.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

745 instances

2.3%

Library

2.3%

Battlefield

67.7%

Graveyard

10.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Fire Lord Azula 83 decks
2 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 70 decks
3 Krenko, Mob Boss 59 decks
4 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 54 decks
5 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 50 decks
6 Sauron, the Dark Lord 45 decks
7 Kratos, God of War 39 decks
8 The Beamtown Bullies 27 decks
9 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 23 decks
10 Magar of the Magic Strings 20 decks

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Foundations (FDN) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.