Live Play Data

Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2024

Decks Running

1037

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=327

13%

14%

40%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 13% (31 / 327 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

2026 brought · 850 players

Brought to game

2026

Ever drawn

463

Reached battlefield

327

Still on board at game end

≥ +3.5pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=297) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=1299).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=119).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.7pp; 95% confidence interval +3.5pp to +13.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

517 instances

1.9%

Library

2.3%

Battlefield

68.5%

Graveyard

10.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Fire Lord Azula 62 decks
2 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 52 decks
3 Krenko, Mob Boss 45 decks
4 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 36 decks
5 Sauron, the Dark Lord 33 decks
6 Kratos, God of War 30 decks
7 The Beamtown Bullies 24 decks
8 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 17 decks
9 Doctor Doom, King of Latveria 16 decks
10 Magar of the Magic Strings 15 decks

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Foundations (FDN) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.