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Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

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Times Brought

2510

Decks Running

1280

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Foundations (FDN) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Final zone distribution

526 instances

1.9%

Library

2.7%

Battlefield

69.0%

Graveyard

6.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 143 decks
2 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 83 decks
3 Fire Lord Azula 79 decks
4 Krenko, Mob Boss 65 decks
5 Sauron, the Dark Lord 40 decks
6 Kratos, God of War 26 decks
7 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 25 decks
8 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 15 decks
9 Niv-Mizzet, Parun 14 decks
10 Rivaz of the Claw 14 decks

The "good card" funnel

2510 brought · 1066 players

Brought to game

2510

Ever drawn

479

Reached battlefield

335

Still on board at game end

≥ -4.7pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=252) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1429).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=99).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -4.7pp to +1.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=335

16%

13%

14%

13%

30%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 20

On curve 23% (53 / 335 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.