Card Preview

Thrill of Possibility

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

844

Decks Running

442

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Thrill of Possibility

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, discard a card. Draw two cards.

Foundations (FDN) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Final zone distribution

175 instances

2.3%

Library

3.4%

Battlefield

69.7%

Graveyard

8.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 40 decks
2 Krenko, Mob Boss 28 decks
3 Fire Lord Azula 26 decks
4 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 15 decks
5 Sauron, the Dark Lord 13 decks
6 Kratos, God of War 9 decks
7 Deadpool, Trading Card 7 decks
8 Saruman, the White Hand 7 decks
9 Niv-Mizzet, Parun 6 decks
10 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 6 decks

The "good card" funnel

844 brought · 396 players

Brought to game

844

Ever drawn

152

Reached battlefield

102

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.0pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=85) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=520).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=39) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -10.0pp to +1.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=102

16%

14%

12%

14%

35%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 21% (16 / 102 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 39%

1205 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.