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collections_bookmark Part of Murders at Karlov Manor auto_awesome #3 in Izzet Commander Staples
Thundering Falls card art
Live Play Data

Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
6%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
539
Decks Running
260
Median Cast Turn
3.0
Drawn → Played
76%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=154
35%
T1
13%
T2
12%
T3
10%
T4
8%
T5
20%
T6-9
1%
T10+
Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 14
Cast same turn as drawn 67%

The "good card" funnel

541 brought · 238 players
Brought to game
541
Ever drawn
203
Reached battlefield
154
Still on board at game end
143

Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.5pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=148) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=262).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=45).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.1pp; 95% confidence interval -2.5pp to +14.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

223 instances
2.7%
Library
64.1%
Battlefield
16.6%
Graveyard
4.5%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Thundering Falls card

Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain
({T}: Add {U} or {R}.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)
Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Grady Frederick

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.