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Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

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Times Brought

359

Decks Running

194

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain

(

: Add

.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Grady Frederick

Final zone distribution

108 instances

83.3%

Battlefield

7.4%

Graveyard

2.8%

Exile

6.5%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 26 decks
2 Fire Lord Azula 7 decks
3 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man 7 decks
4 Sauron, the Dark Lord 6 decks
5 Alania, Divergent Storm 5 decks
6 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 5 decks
7 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 5 decks
8 Flubs, the Fool 4 decks
9 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 4 decks
10 Krark, the Thumbless 4 decks

The "good card" funnel

361 brought · 188 players

Brought to game

361

Ever drawn

105

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 97% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.5pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=75) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=184).

Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -4.5pp to +8.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=93

25%

15%

18%

12%

25%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 10

Cast same turn as drawn 61%

93 of 100 times cast 93%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.