Thundering Falls
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Thundering Falls
Final zone distribution
262 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
60 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
16 decks
-
3
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
13 decks
-
4
Fire Lord Azula
12 decks
-
5
Flubs, the Fool
10 decks
-
6
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
10 decks
-
7
Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy
10 decks
-
8
Gandalf, Party Guest
9 decks
-
9
Prismari, the Inspiration
9 decks
-
10
Alania, Divergent Storm
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
857 brought · 423 playersOnce cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=165) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=449).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=35).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -1.0pp to +7.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.