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Thundering Falls card art
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Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
Times Brought
855
Decks Running
456
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Thundering Falls card

Thundering Falls

Land — Island Mountain
({T}: Add {U} or {R}.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)
Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Grady Frederick

Final zone distribution

262 instances
0.8%
Library
74.8%
Battlefield
10.3%
Graveyard
3.4%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

857 brought · 423 players
Brought to game
857
Ever drawn
252
Reached battlefield
208
Still on board at game end
196

Once cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.0pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=165) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=449).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -1.0pp to +7.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=208
30%
T1
14%
T2
18%
T3
9%
T4
5%
T5
21%
T6-9
3%
T10+
Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 14
Cast same turn as drawn 60%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.