Tocasia's Welcome
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Tocasia's Welcome
Final zone distribution
105 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Quintorius, History Chaser
65 decks
-
2
Rin and Seri, Inseparable
29 decks
-
3
Zurgo Stormrender
12 decks
-
4
Edgar Markov
8 decks
-
5
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
7 decks
-
6
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer
6 decks
-
7
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines
5 decks
-
8
Myrel, Shield of Argive
5 decks
-
9
Syr Vondam, Sunstar Exemplar
4 decks
-
10
Aziza, Mage Tower Captain
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
478 brought · 238 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=53) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=305).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=25) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +3.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.6pp to +10.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=66Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.