Live Play Data

Tragic Arrogance

· Sorcery · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

749

Decks Running

384

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=87

15%

47%

T6-9

31%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 20

On curve 22% (13 / 87 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

749 brought · 348 players

Brought to game

749

Ever drawn

165

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.9pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=77) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=444).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=67).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.8pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +19.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

205 instances

4.4%

Library

2.4%

Battlefield

54.6%

Graveyard

11.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Tragic Arrogance

Sorcery

For each player, you choose from among the permanents that player controls an artifact, a creature, an enchantment, and a planeswalker. Then each player sacrifices all other nonland permanents they control.

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Rare · Illustrated by Rimas Valeikis

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.