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Tragic Arrogance card art
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Tragic Arrogance

{3} {W} {W} · Sorcery · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
175
Decks Running
113
In Decks
879
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

47 instances
4.3%
Battlefield
66.0%
Graveyard
10.6%
Exile
19.1%
Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

175 brought · 109 players
Brought to game
175
Ever drawn
40
Reached battlefield
23
Still on board at game end
2
≥ -15.2pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=22) , vs 34% when it never left the library (n=121).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=17) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +5.8pp; 95% confidence interval -15.2pp to +26.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
9%
T4
30%
T5
30%
T6-9
30%
T10+
Median 7 P25 5 · P75 11 · max 13
On curve 39% (7 / 23 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 41%
23 of 100 times cast 23%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.