Live Play Data

Tragic Arrogance

· Sorcery · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1542

Decks Running

734

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=183

57%

T6-9

31%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 21

On curve 12% (15 / 183 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

1542 brought · 663 players

Brought to game

1542

Ever drawn

343

Reached battlefield

183

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=178) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1009).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=157).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.3pp; 95% confidence interval +0.3pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

422 instances

4.3%

Library

3.6%

Battlefield

54.3%

Graveyard

9.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Tragic Arrogance

Sorcery

For each player, you choose from among the permanents that player controls an artifact, a creature, an enchantment, and a planeswalker. Then each player sacrifices all other nonland permanents they control.

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Rare · Illustrated by Rimas Valeikis

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.