Tropical Island
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Tropical Island
: Add 
or 
.)Final zone distribution
733 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
77 decks
-
2
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
32 decks
-
3
The First Sliver
24 decks
-
4
Flubs, the Fool
19 decks
-
5
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
18 decks
-
6
Thrasios, Triton Hero
18 decks
-
7
Uugguu, the Omniplasm
18 decks
-
8
Animar, Soul of Elements
17 decks
-
9
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
16 decks
-
10
The Wise Mothman
15 decks
The "good card" funnel
1771 brought · 591 playersOnce cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=520) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=762).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=34).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.4pp; 95% confidence interval +0.7pp to +6.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.