Trouble in Pairs
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Trouble in Pairs
Final zone distribution
268 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Giada, Font of Hope
42 decks
-
2
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer
28 decks
-
3
Kaalia of the Vast
18 decks
-
4
Ms. Bumbleflower
17 decks
-
5
Whtz, the Bibliophile
14 decks
-
6
Edgar Markov
13 decks
-
7
Hope Estheim
12 decks
-
8
Kwia Vigorbloom
12 decks
-
9
Queen Marchesa
12 decks
-
10
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1389 brought · 578 playersOnce cast, 75% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=88) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=845).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=105).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +5.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.