Twilight Prophet
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Twilight Prophet
Final zone distribution
151 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Edgar Markov
112 decks
-
2
Clavileño, First of the Blessed
37 decks
-
3
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds
32 decks
-
4
Mirko, Obsessive Theorist
8 decks
-
5
Strefan, Maurer Progenitor
8 decks
-
6
Astarion, the Decadent
6 decks
-
7
Marvo, Deep Operative
6 decks
-
8
Abaddon the Despoiler
5 decks
-
9
Elenda, the Dusk Rose
5 decks
-
10
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
776 brought · 310 playersOnce cast, 68% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=85) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=441).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=17).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.3pp to +6.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.