Ugin, the Spirit Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon
Final zone distribution
68 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games- 1 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 34 decks
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2
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
12 decks
-
3
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
11 decks
- 4 Molecule Man 11 decks
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5
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
11 decks
- 6 Ultima, Origin of Oblivion 9 decks
- 7 Kozilek, the Great Distortion 7 decks
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8
The Thing
4 decks
- 9 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 4 decks
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10
The Notary Hobbits
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
338 brought · 153 playersOnce cast, 68% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=24) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=185).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=19).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +12.8pp; 95% confidence interval +3.8pp to +21.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.