Live Play Data

Urza's Incubator

· Artifact · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

3168

Decks Running

1434

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

79%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=580

13%

23%

17%

12%

27%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 17

On curve 38% (133 / 580 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

3168 brought · 1080 players

Brought to game

3168

Ever drawn

734

Reached battlefield

580

Still on board at game end

443

Once cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.8pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=520) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=2031).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=131).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.9pp; 95% confidence interval +2.8pp to +10.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

820 instances

3.7%

Library

54.0%

Battlefield

21.3%

Graveyard

6.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Urza's Incubator

Artifact

As this artifact enters, choose a creature type. Creature spells of the chosen type cost {2}

less to cast.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Grzegorz Rutkowski

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.