Live Play Data

Urza's Incubator

· Artifact · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1367

Decks Running

685

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=234

15%

24%

14%

13%

23%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 3 · P75 6 · max 17

On curve 41% (57 / 234 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

1367 brought · 545 players

Brought to game

1367

Ever drawn

308

Reached battlefield

234

Still on board at game end

176

Once cast, 75% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=209) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=889).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=60).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.0pp; 95% confidence interval -1.2pp to +11.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

344 instances

2.6%

Library

51.2%

Battlefield

25.0%

Graveyard

5.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Urza's Incubator

Artifact

As this artifact enters, choose a creature type. Creature spells of the chosen type cost {2}

less to cast.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Grzegorz Rutkowski

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.