Urza's Incubator
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Urza's Incubator
Final zone distribution
646 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
108 decks
-
2
Giada, Font of Hope
99 decks
-
3
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
79 decks
- 4 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 65 decks
-
5
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
58 decks
-
6
Ashling, the Limitless
52 decks
-
7
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
40 decks
-
8
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
38 decks
-
9
The First Sliver
35 decks
-
10
Be'lakor, the Dark Master
34 decks
The "good card" funnel
3117 brought · 1096 playersOnce cast, 84% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=394) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1818).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=86).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.2pp; 95% confidence interval +1.6pp to +6.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.