Utopia Sprawl
75% of drawn Utopia Sprawl copies are cast before the game ends, and the median first-cast turn is 4.0, making it one of the faster mana accelerants in the Playgroup Live dataset.
Utopia Sprawl earns its slot early. Across 971 tracked multiplayer Commander games on Playgroup Live, it lands on turn 4.0 at the median, and 75% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game concludes.
The card sits in 526 of 8711 tracked decks, an 6% inclusion rate that reflects its strict requirement of a Forest in play. Despite that constraint, it shows up across mono-green builds, Gruul stompy, and enchantment-matters commanders alike. Once it resolves, it sticks: 86% of cast copies remain on the battlefield at game end, a figure that reflects how rarely opponents bother to answer a mana Aura.
The concentration data is a genuine strength of this sample. 432 distinct players have brought Utopia Sprawl to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 3% of all instances. That spread means the numbers reflect real metagame diversity rather than one player's repetition.
- 6% of tracked Commander decks include Utopia Sprawl
- T4.0 median first-cast turn across observed games
- 75% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
- 86% battlefield stickiness once it resolves
- 432 distinct players have brought it to a tracked game, a well-spread sample
First-cast turn
n=212The "good card" funnel
1013 brought · 432 playersOf 1013 Utopia Sprawls brought to tracked games, 283 were drawn, 212 of those were cast, and the large majority stayed on the battlefield through end of game.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=200) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=647).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=66) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +5.9pp; 95% confidence interval -0.9pp to +12.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
306 instancesMost Utopia Sprawls finish on the battlefield rather than the library, which is unusual and reflects how early this Aura tends to land relative to the game's arc.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Shroofus Sproutsire
16 decks
-
2
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
14 decks
-
3
Terra, Magical Adept // Esper Terra
13 decks
-
4
Henzie "Toolbox" Torre
12 decks
-
5
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
11 decks
-
6
Sythis, Harvest's Hand
10 decks
-
7
Go-Shintai of Life's Origin
9 decks
-
8
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
9 decks
-
9
Galea, Kindler of Hope
8 decks
-
10
Zimone, Infinite Analyst
7 decks
The commander list spans at least five distinct archetypes, from mono-green stompy to five-color enchantments, showing that the card's Forest requirement is not a meaningful bottleneck across green builds.