Live Play Data

Utopia Sprawl

· Enchantment — Aura · Ravnica Remastered (RVR)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

526

Decks Running

276

Median Cast Turn

3.0

Drawn → Played

73%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

73% of drawn Utopia Sprawl copies are cast before the game ends, and the median first-cast turn is 3.0, making it one of the faster mana accelerants in the Playgroup Live dataset.

Utopia Sprawl earns its slot early. Across 500 tracked multiplayer Commander games on Playgroup Live, it lands on turn 3.0 at the median, and 73% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game concludes.

The card sits in 276 of 4416 tracked decks, an 6% inclusion rate that reflects its strict requirement of a Forest in play. Despite that constraint, it shows up across mono-green builds, Gruul stompy, and enchantment-matters commanders alike. Once it resolves, it sticks: 85% of cast copies remain on the battlefield at game end, a figure that reflects how rarely opponents bother to answer a mana Aura.

The concentration data is a genuine strength of this sample. 241 distinct players have brought Utopia Sprawl to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 3% of all instances. That spread means the numbers reflect real metagame diversity rather than one player's repetition.

At a glance

6% of tracked Commander decks include Utopia Sprawl
T3.0 median first-cast turn across observed games
73% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
85% battlefield stickiness once it resolves
241 distinct players have brought it to a tracked game, a well-spread sample

First-cast turn

n=112

32%

15%

10%

23%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 13

On curve 32% (36 / 112 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 71%

The "good card" funnel

526 brought · 241 players

Brought to game

526

Ever drawn

154

Reached battlefield

112

Still on board at game end

73%

Of 526 Utopia Sprawls brought to tracked games, 154 were drawn, 112 of those were cast, and the large majority stayed on the battlefield through end of game.

≥ -3.6pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=108) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=344).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=39) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.6pp to +14.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

164 instances

1.8%

Library

57.9%

Battlefield

17.1%

Graveyard

4.3%

Exile

Most Utopia Sprawls finish on the battlefield rather than the library, which is unusual and reflects how early this Aura tends to land relative to the game's arc.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Bello, Bard of the Brambles 8 decks
2 Shroofus Sproutsire 8 decks
3 Terra, Magical Adept // Esper Terra 8 decks
4 Henzie "Toolbox" Torre 6 decks
5 The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl 6 decks
6 Ellivere of the Wild Court 5 decks
7 Galea, Kindler of Hope 5 decks
8 Sythis, Harvest's Hand 5 decks
9 Wildsear, Scouring Maw 5 decks
10 Tuvasa the Sunlit 4 decks

The commander list spans at least five distinct archetypes, from mono-green stompy to five-color enchantments, showing that the card's Forest requirement is not a meaningful bottleneck across green builds.

Frequently Asked

How often is Utopia Sprawl drawn in a Commander game?

In 500 tracked games where Utopia Sprawl was in the deck, it was drawn 29% of the time. That is consistent with what you'd expect from a singleton in a 100-card deck. Of 154 instances that reached a player's hand, 73% were cast before the game ended. The remainder were drawn too late in the game to resolve before it concluded.

What turn does Utopia Sprawl usually get cast?

Median first-cast turn is 3.0. The distribution skews early: the most common cast turn is turn 1, reflecting players who keep it in their opening hand and lead with it. The interquartile range runs from turn 1 to turn 6, so a meaningful share of copies arrive well into the midgame, likely drawn off a cantrip or top-deck.

How sticky is Utopia Sprawl once it resolves?

85% of cast copies finish the game on the battlefield. That is a high figure for any permanent. Opponents rarely spend removal on a mana Aura unless the enchanted Forest is itself relevant to an engine. The low exile and graveyard counts in the final-zone data reinforce that early assessment.

Which commanders most often run Utopia Sprawl?

The top-commander list spans mono-green stompy (Shroofus Sproutsire, The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl), enchantment-matters (Ellivere of the Wild Court, Sythis, Harvest's Hand, Tuvasa the Sunlit), and broader green-inclusive strategies (Bello, Bard of the Brambles; Terra, Magical Adept). That spread signals the card pulls its weight in any green shell that can reliably deploy a Forest early.

Is Utopia Sprawl legal in Commander?

Yes. Utopia Sprawl is legal in Commander, Duel Commander, Pauper Commander, Legacy, Modern, Vintage, Historic, and Timeless. It is not legal in Standard, Pioneer, Alchemy, or Penny Dreadful. The mono-green color identity means it fits into any Commander deck that runs green.

Does casting Utopia Sprawl actually improve your odds of winning?

The data shows a +5.6 percentage-point win-rate lift when the card is cast versus when it stays in the library, but the confidence interval for this dataset crosses zero. Both the cast bucket (108 observations) and library bucket (344 observations) are reasonably sized, but the effect should be read as a directional early signal rather than a proven causal claim. What is clear is that the card resolves and sticks at a high rate, which is the practical precondition for any mana advantage to matter.