Utopia Sprawl
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Utopia Sprawl
Final zone distribution
283 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
21 decks
-
2
Shroofus Sproutsire
16 decks
-
3
Flubs, the Fool
15 decks
-
4
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
13 decks
-
5
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
12 decks
-
6
Tom Bombadil
11 decks
-
7
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
9 decks
-
8
Sythis, Harvest's Hand
9 decks
-
9
Ellivere of the Wild Court
8 decks
-
10
Galea, Kindler of Hope
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1175 brought · 481 playersOnce cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=160) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=636).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=40).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.3pp; 95% confidence interval -2.0pp to +6.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.