Utopia Sprawl
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Utopia Sprawl
Final zone distribution
640 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
34 decks
-
2
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
31 decks
-
3
Shroofus Sproutsire
30 decks
-
4
Flubs, the Fool
27 decks
-
5
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
23 decks
-
6
Sythis, Harvest's Hand
22 decks
-
7
Ellivere of the Wild Court
20 decks
-
8
Henzie "Toolbox" Torre
20 decks
-
9
Helga, Skittish Seer
18 decks
-
10
Tom Bombadil
18 decks
The "good card" funnel
2713 brought · 1001 playersOnce cast, 91% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=444) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1804).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=98).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.9pp; 95% confidence interval -1.7pp to +3.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.