Utvara Hellkite
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Utvara Hellkite
Final zone distribution
190 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
144 decks
-
2
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
38 decks
-
3
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
29 decks
-
4
Ureni of the Unwritten
29 decks
-
5
Kaalia of the Vast
13 decks
-
6
Rivaz of the Claw
11 decks
-
7
Tiamat
10 decks
-
8
Atarka, World Render
8 decks
-
9
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
8 decks
-
10
Tannuk, Steadfast Second
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
849 brought · 319 playersOnce cast, 74% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=75) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=491).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=62).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.4pp to +9.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.