Valakut Awakening // Valakut Stoneforge
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Valakut Awakening
Valakut Stoneforge
Final zone distribution
332 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Krenko, Mob Boss
32 decks
-
2
Fire Lord Azula
31 decks
-
3
Queen Marchesa
20 decks
-
4
Kratos, God of War
17 decks
-
5
Norin the Wary
17 decks
-
6
Smaug the Impenetrable
15 decks
-
7
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
13 decks
-
8
Vivi Ornitier
13 decks
-
9
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
11 decks
-
10
Smaug the Magnificent
11 decks
The "good card" funnel
1470 brought · 635 playersOnce cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=159) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=825).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=78).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.5pp; 95% confidence interval -4.7pp to +3.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.