Live Play Data

Elven Raft-Steerer

· Creature — Elf Pilot · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

207

Decks Running

104

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=32

13%

47%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 16

On curve 22% (3 / 32 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

207 brought · 98 players

Brought to game

207

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.3pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=32) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=126).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=21).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.9pp; 95% confidence interval -9.3pp to +25.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

65 instances

3.1%

Library

27.7%

Battlefield

35.4%

Graveyard

6.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Thranduil, the Elvenking 21 decks
2 Thranduil the Strategist 10 decks
3 Nissa, Leyline Tamer 6 decks
4 Omnath, Locus of Creation 5 decks
5 Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait 4 decks
6 Galadriel, Light of Valinor 4 decks
7 Gandalf, Shadow's Foe 4 decks
8 Homer, the Hermit 4 decks
9 Thranduil, Sindarin Liege // Silvan Rally 4 decks
10 Hylda of the Icy Crown 3 decks

Card text

Elven Raft-Steerer

Creature — Elf Pilot

Landfall — Whenever a land you control enters, choose one — • Tap target creature an opponent controls. • Untap target creature you control.

3 / 2

The Hobbit (HOB) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Christina Kraus

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.