collections_bookmark Part of The Hobbit
Elven Raft-Steerer card art
Live Play Data

Elven Raft-Steerer

{2} {U} · Creature — Elf Pilot · The Hobbit (HOB)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
120
Decks Running
69
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
72%
Format

First-cast turn

n=23
0%
T1
13%
T2
4%
T3
9%
T4
13%
T5
48%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 16
On curve 17% (1 / 23 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

120 brought · 68 players
Brought to game
120
Ever drawn
32
Reached battlefield
23
Still on board at game end
14

Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -12.3pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=23) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=77).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.8pp; 95% confidence interval -12.3pp to +27.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

35 instances
5.7%
Library
40.0%
Battlefield
40.0%
Graveyard
14.3%
Hand
Card text
Elven Raft-Steerer card

Elven Raft-Steerer

{2} {U}
Creature — Elf Pilot
Landfall — Whenever a land you control enters, choose one — • Tap target creature an opponent controls. • Untap target creature you control.
3 / 2
The Hobbit (HOB) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Christina Kraus

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.