Wakening Sun's Avatar
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Wakening Sun's Avatar
Final zone distribution
117 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
155 decks
-
2
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
79 decks
-
3
Zacama, Primal Calamity
5 decks
-
4
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
4 decks
-
5
Morophon, the Boundless
3 decks
-
6
Maular, the Next Evolution
2 decks
-
7
Mayael the Anima
2 decks
-
8
Zurgo Helmsmasher
2 decks
-
9
Ellie and Alan, Paleontologists
1 decks
-
10
Ghalta and Mavren
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
512 brought · 242 playersOnce cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=47) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=282).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +12.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.