Waterlogged Grove
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Waterlogged Grove
Final zone distribution
155 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
22 decks
-
2
Aloy, Savior of Meridian
11 decks
-
3
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
10 decks
-
4
Hakbal of the Surging Soul
7 decks
-
5
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
6 decks
-
6
Helga, Skittish Seer
6 decks
-
7
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
5 decks
-
8
Jadzi, Oracle of Arcavios // Journey to the Oracle
5 decks
-
9
Zimone, Infinite Analyst
5 decks
-
10
Adrix and Nev, Twincasters
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
558 brought · 222 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=81) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=298).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=26).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.8pp; 95% confidence interval -2.2pp to +9.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.