Watery Grave
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Watery Grave
Final zone distribution
1778 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
122 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
119 decks
-
3
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
83 decks
-
4
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
71 decks
-
5
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
66 decks
-
6
Fire Lord Azula
63 decks
-
7
The Ur-Dragon
59 decks
-
8
Teval, the Balanced Scale
52 decks
-
9
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
52 decks
-
10
The Wise Mothman
51 decks
The "good card" funnel
6298 brought · 1907 playersOnce cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=1038) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=3265).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=219).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +3.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.