Live Play Data

Wild Magic Surge

· Instant · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

505

Decks Running

299

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=86

12%

20%

52%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 19

On curve 2% (2 / 86 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

505 brought · 275 players

Brought to game

505

Ever drawn

121

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=79) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=313).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=31).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +17.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

135 instances

4.4%

Library

3.7%

Battlefield

62.2%

Graveyard

11.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Wild Magic Surge

Instant

Destroy target permanent an opponent controls. Its controller reveals cards from the top of their library until they reveal a permanent card that shares a card type with that permanent. They put that card onto the battlefield and the rest on the bottom of their library in a random order.

Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Dave Greco

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.