Live Play Data

Windfall

· Sorcery · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

10%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

3169

Decks Running

1512

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

55%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=475

11%

12%

56%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 20

On curve 9% (30 / 475 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

3181 brought · 1139 players

Brought to game

3181

Ever drawn

857

Reached battlefield

475

Still on board at game end

≥ +1.0pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=445) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1903).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=341).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.3pp; 95% confidence interval +1.0pp to +9.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

966 instances

5.2%

Library

4.3%

Battlefield

50.3%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 79 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 50 decks
3 Sauron, the Dark Lord 45 decks
4 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 42 decks
5 Xyris, the Writhing Storm 41 decks
6 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 30 decks
7 Doctor Doom, King of Latveria 28 decks
8 Admiral Brass, Unsinkable 26 decks
9 The Astonishing Ant-Man 24 decks
10 Whtz, the Bibliophile 24 decks

Card text

Windfall

Sorcery

Each player discards their hand, then draws cards equal to the greatest number of cards a player discarded this way.

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Scott Murphy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.