Aftermath Analyst
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Aftermath Analyst
Final zone distribution
288 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
130 decks
-
2
Teval, the Balanced Scale
44 decks
-
3
Szarel, Genesis Shepherd
40 decks
-
4
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
28 decks
-
5
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
22 decks
-
6
Homer, the Hermit
22 decks
-
7
The Necrobloom
20 decks
-
8
Muldrotha, the Gravetide
16 decks
-
9
The Gitrog Monster
14 decks
-
10
Nethroi, Apex of Death
13 decks
The "good card" funnel
1006 brought · 487 playersOnce cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=131) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=537).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=31).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.3pp; 95% confidence interval +1.6pp to +11.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.