Agate Instigator
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Agate Instigator
Final zone distribution
145 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
79 decks
-
2
Baylen, the Haymaker
27 decks
-
3
Norin the Wary
23 decks
-
4
Xyris, the Writhing Storm
23 decks
-
5
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
22 decks
-
6
Krenko, Mob Boss
21 decks
-
7
Ingris Stingerquill
15 decks
-
8
Gev, Scaled Scorch
11 decks
-
9
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
10 decks
-
10
The Jolly Balloon Man
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
768 brought · 335 playersOnce cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=85) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=441).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +9.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.