Aggravated Assault
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Aggravated Assault
Final zone distribution
198 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
24 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
21 decks
-
3
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
19 decks
-
4
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
19 decks
-
5
Krenko, Mob Boss
18 decks
-
6
Kratos, God of War
14 decks
-
7
Lightning, Army of One
12 decks
-
8
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
12 decks
-
9
Ureni of the Unwritten
12 decks
-
10
Smaug the Magnificent
11 decks
The "good card" funnel
1157 brought · 437 playersOnce cast, 82% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=78) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=686).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=69).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.0pp; 95% confidence interval -1.8pp to +9.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.