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Part of Modern Horizons 3
·
Enchantment — Aura
·
Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
Card Preview
Amphibian Downpour
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
160
Decks Running
100
In Decks
809
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
56 instances3.6%
Library
17.9%
Battlefield
46.4%
Graveyard
12.5%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
8 decks
-
2
Vivi Ornitier
5 decks
-
3
Clement, the Worrywort
4 decks
-
4
Grolnok, the Omnivore
4 decks
-
5
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
3 decks
-
6
Fire Lord Azula
3 decks
-
7
Kotis, the Fangkeeper
3 decks
-
8
Norman Osborn // Green Goblin
3 decks
-
9
Alela, Artful Provocateur
2 decks
-
10
Anowon, the Ruin Thief
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
166 brought · 87 playersBrought to game
166
Ever drawn
48
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
10
Once cast, 30% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -6.0pp
Players who cast this card win 43% of the time (n=32) , vs 31% when it never left the library (n=103).
Observed gap +12.0pp; 95% confidence interval -6.0pp to +30.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=33
3%
T1
0%
T2
9%
T3
6%
T4
15%
T5
64%
T6-9
3%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
7
· max
14
On curve
12%
(3 / 33 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
35%
33 of 100 times cast
33%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.