Live Play Data

An Unexpected Party // At the Door

· Enchantment // Sorcery — Adventure · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

282

Decks Running

142

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=35

17%

69%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 10

Cast same turn as drawn 37%

The "good card" funnel

282 brought · 124 players

Brought to game

282

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 63% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -10.8pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=28) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=178).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.3pp; 95% confidence interval -10.8pp to +23.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

61 instances

6.6%

Library

36.1%

Battlefield

21.3%

Graveyard

9.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Thorin, King of Durin's Folk 70 decks
2 Dáin of the Ancient Halls 35 decks
3 Bifur, Melodic Rider 5 decks
4 Thorin Oakenshield 5 decks
5 Bruenor Battlehammer 3 decks
6 Vihaan, Goldwaker 3 decks
7 Aragorn, the Uniter 1 decks
8 Belladonna Took 1 decks
9 Cecil, Dark Knight // Cecil, Redeemed Paladin 1 decks
10 Commander Mustard 1 decks

Card text

An Unexpected Party

Enchantment

As this enchantment enters, choose a creature type. Creatures you control of the chosen type get +2/+2.

At the Door

Sorcery — Adventure

Create X 2/2 red Dwarf creature tokens. (Then exile this card. You may cast the enchantment later from exile.)

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Matt Stewart

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.