Live Play Data

An Unexpected Party // At the Door

· Enchantment // Sorcery — Adventure · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

572

Decks Running

223

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

61%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=62

73%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

572 brought · 189 players

Brought to game

572

Ever drawn

102

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.2pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=52) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=390).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=32).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.8pp; 95% confidence interval -5.2pp to +18.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

114 instances

7.0%

Library

32.5%

Battlefield

17.5%

Graveyard

10.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Thorin, King of Durin's Folk 105 decks
2 Dáin of the Ancient Halls 50 decks
3 Thorin Oakenshield 8 decks
4 Bifur, Melodic Rider 6 decks
5 Bruenor Battlehammer 4 decks
6 Dwalin, Weaponmaster 4 decks
7 Vihaan, Goldwaker 3 decks
8 Commander Mustard 2 decks
9 Dark Leo & Shredder 2 decks
10 Giott, King of the Dwarves 2 decks

Card text

An Unexpected Party

Enchantment

As this enchantment enters, choose a creature type. Creatures you control of the chosen type get +2/+2.

At the Door

Sorcery — Adventure

Create X 2/2 red Dwarf creature tokens. (Then exile this card. You may cast the enchantment later from exile.)

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Matt Stewart

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.