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An Unexpected Party // At the Door card art
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An Unexpected Party // At the Door

{2} {W} {W} {X} {2} {W} · Enchantment // Sorcery — Adventure · The Hobbit (HOB)
Times Brought
265
Decks Running
124
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
An Unexpected Party // At the Door card

An Unexpected Party

{2} {W} {W}
Enchantment
As this enchantment enters, choose a creature type. Creatures you control of the chosen type get +2/+2.

At the Door

{X} {2} {W}
Sorcery — Adventure
Create X 2/2 red Dwarf creature tokens. (Then exile this card. You may cast the enchantment later from exile.)
The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Matt Stewart

Final zone distribution

50 instances
4.0%
Library
30.0%
Battlefield
20.0%
Graveyard
16.0%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

265 brought · 116 players
Brought to game
265
Ever drawn
47
Reached battlefield
28
Still on board at game end
15

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.4pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=18) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=150).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.9pp; 95% confidence interval -4.4pp to +20.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=28
0%
T1
0%
T2
4%
T3
11%
T4
4%
T5
68%
T6-9
14%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 12
Cast same turn as drawn 21%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.