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Ashling, Flame Dancer

· Legendary Creature — Elemental Shaman · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

114

Decks Running

In Decks

575

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

37 instances

29.7%

Battlefield

51.4%

Graveyard

2.7%

Exile

13.5%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Fire Lord Azula 7 decks
2 Prismari, the Inspiration 7 decks
3 Fire Lord Zuko 6 decks
4 Thor, God of Thunder 5 decks
5 Magar of the Magic Strings 3 decks
6 Ozai, the Phoenix King 3 decks
7 Storm, Force of Nature 3 decks
8 Veyran, Voice of Duality 3 decks
9 Alania, Divergent Storm 2 decks
10 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

115 brought · 63 players

Brought to game

115

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -20.7pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=23) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=75).

Observed gap -1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -20.7pp to +17.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23

13%

17%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 26% (3 / 23 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

23 of 100 times cast 23%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.