Card Preview
Ayara, First of Locthwain
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
205
Decks Running
130
In Decks
1152
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
47 instances2.1%
Library
25.5%
Battlefield
25.5%
Graveyard
17.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Marrow-Gnawer
18 decks
-
2
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
11 decks
-
3
Rat King, Verminister
7 decks
-
4
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
5 decks
-
5
Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose
5 decks
-
6
Baron Helmut Zemo
4 decks
-
7
Vren, the Relentless
4 decks
-
8
Ayara, First of Locthwain
3 decks
-
9
Beledros Witherbloom
3 decks
-
10
Massacre Girl, Known Killer
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
205 brought · 117 playersBrought to game
205
Ever drawn
39
Reached battlefield
26
Still on board at game end
12
Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -25.5pp
Players who cast this card win 16% of the time (n=26) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=151).
Observed gap -10.6pp; 95% confidence interval -25.5pp to +4.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=26
0%
T1
19%
T2
8%
T3
23%
T4
15%
T5
35%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median
4.5
P25
3
· P75
6
· max
9
On curve
27%
(2 / 26 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
26%
26 of 100 times cast
26%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.