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Ayara, First of Locthwain

· Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · Throne of Eldraine (ELD)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

233

Decks Running

145

In Decks

1427

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

54 instances

3.7%

Library

25.9%

Battlefield

24.1%

Graveyard

16.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Marrow-Gnawer 18 decks
2 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 14 decks
3 Rat King, Verminister 7 decks
4 K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth 5 decks
5 Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose 5 decks
6 Ayara, First of Locthwain 4 decks
7 Baron Helmut Zemo 4 decks
8 Toxrill, the Corrosive 4 decks
9 Vren, the Relentless 4 decks
10 Beledros Witherbloom 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

233 brought · 130 players

Brought to game

233

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -25.8pp

Players who cast this card win 15% of the time (n=29) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=170).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=17) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -12.2pp; 95% confidence interval -25.8pp to +1.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=29

17%

10%

21%

14%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 6 · max 9

On curve 28% (3 / 29 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 24%

29 of 100 times cast 28%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.