Live Play Data

Ayara, First of Locthwain

· Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · Throne of Eldraine (ELD)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1436

Decks Running

690

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=276

21%

12%

11%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 15

On curve 32% (58 / 276 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

1438 brought · 599 players

Brought to game

1438

Ever drawn

309

Reached battlefield

228

Still on board at game end

116

Once cast, 51% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.7pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=211) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=953).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=73).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.8pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +12.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

347 instances

2.6%

Library

33.4%

Battlefield

34.0%

Graveyard

8.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 91 decks
2 Marrow-Gnawer 57 decks
3 Ghoulcaller Gisa 54 decks
4 Rat King, Verminister 26 decks
5 Vren, the Relentless 22 decks
6 Avacyn, Angel of Horror 16 decks
7 K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth 16 decks
8 Baron Helmut Zemo 14 decks
9 Toxrill, the Corrosive 14 decks
10 Syr Konrad, the Grim 12 decks

Card text

Ayara, First of Locthwain

Legendary Creature — Elf Noble

Whenever Ayara or another black creature you control enters, each opponent loses 1 life and you gain 1 life. {T}

, Sacrifice another black creature: Draw a card.

2 / 3

Throne of Eldraine (ELD) · Rare · Illustrated by Ryan Pancoast

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.