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Ayara, First of Locthwain

· Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · Throne of Eldraine (ELD)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

541

Decks Running

290

In Decks

1993

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Ayara, First of Locthwain

Legendary Creature — Elf Noble

Whenever Ayara or another black creature you control enters, each opponent loses 1 life and you gain 1 life. {T}

, Sacrifice another black creature: Draw a card.

2 / 3

Throne of Eldraine (ELD) · Rare · Illustrated by Ryan Pancoast

Final zone distribution

136 instances

2.2%

Library

41.9%

Battlefield

21.3%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 38 decks
2 Marrow-Gnawer 29 decks
3 Rat King, Verminister 13 decks
4 Ayara, First of Locthwain 11 decks
5 Baron Helmut Zemo 8 decks
6 Toxrill, the Corrosive 8 decks
7 Vren, the Relentless 8 decks
8 K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth 6 decks
9 Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose 6 decks
10 Shirei, Shizo's Caretaker 5 decks

The "good card" funnel

541 brought · 265 players

Brought to game

541

Ever drawn

108

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -14.4pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=74) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=370).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=30) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -4.0pp; 95% confidence interval -14.4pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=79

15%

14%

11%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 23% (12 / 79 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

79 of 100 times cast 79%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.