Live Play Data

Ayara, First of Locthwain

· Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · Throne of Eldraine (ELD)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2124

Decks Running

1003

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

72%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=389

21%

14%

12%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 15

On curve 30% (82 / 389 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

2126 brought · 865 players

Brought to game

2126

Ever drawn

459

Reached battlefield

332

Still on board at game end

160

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.9pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=307) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1404).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=115).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.3pp; 95% confidence interval +0.9pp to +11.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

522 instances

2.9%

Library

30.7%

Battlefield

36.6%

Graveyard

8.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ghoulcaller Gisa 153 decks
2 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 113 decks
3 Marrow-Gnawer 74 decks
4 Avacyn, Angel of Horror 41 decks
5 Rat King, Verminister 31 decks
6 Vren, the Relentless 28 decks
7 Gisa, the Hellraiser 20 decks
8 Baron Helmut Zemo 19 decks
9 K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth 19 decks
10 Toxrill, the Corrosive 15 decks

Card text

Ayara, First of Locthwain

Legendary Creature — Elf Noble

Whenever Ayara or another black creature you control enters, each opponent loses 1 life and you gain 1 life. {T}

, Sacrifice another black creature: Draw a card.

2 / 3

Throne of Eldraine (ELD) · Rare · Illustrated by Ryan Pancoast

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.