Ayara, First of Locthwain
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Legendary Creature — Elf Noble
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Throne of Eldraine (ELD)
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ayara, First of Locthwain
, Sacrifice another black creature: Draw a card.Final zone distribution
134 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Marrow-Gnawer
41 decks
-
2
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
40 decks
-
3
Rat King, Verminister
15 decks
-
4
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
14 decks
-
5
Teval, the Balanced Scale
9 decks
-
6
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
9 decks
-
7
Ashcoat of the Shadow Swarm
7 decks
-
8
Ghoulcaller Gisa
7 decks
-
9
Shirei, Shizo's Caretaker
7 decks
-
10
Athreos, God of Passage
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
643 brought · 287 playersOnce cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=67) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=374).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +10.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.