Ayara, First of Locthwain card art
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Ayara, First of Locthwain

{B} {B} {B} · Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · Throne of Eldraine (ELD)
Times Brought
225
Decks Running
126
In Decks
Decklist Inclusion
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

59 instances
45.8%
Battlefield
23.7%
Graveyard
6.8%
Exile
22.0%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

225 brought · 113 players
Brought to game
225
Ever drawn
47
Reached battlefield
32
Still on board at game end
27

Once cast, 75% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.2pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=27) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=146).

Observed gap +4.6pp; 95% confidence interval -5.2pp to +14.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=32
0%
T1
13%
T2
31%
T3
6%
T4
13%
T5
31%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median 4.5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 12
On curve 44% (10 / 32 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 36%
32 of 100 times cast 32%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.