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Baleful Mastery

· Instant · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

138

Decks Running

In Decks

856

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

41 instances

2.4%

Library

56.1%

Graveyard

12.2%

Exile

29.3%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 11 decks
2 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 9 decks
3 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse 9 decks
4 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 5 decks
5 Lotho, Corrupt Shirriff 2 decks
6 Marrow-Gnawer 2 decks
7 Seizan, Perverter of Truth 2 decks
8 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 2 decks
9 Zenos yae Galvus // Shinryu, Transcendent Rival 2 decks
10 Alela, Cunning Conqueror 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

139 brought · 75 players

Brought to game

139

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.2pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=21) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=93).

Observed gap +17.3pp; 95% confidence interval -3.2pp to +37.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=21

14%

52%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 8 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 14% (3 / 21 cast on T4)

21 of 100 times cast 21%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.