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Baleful Strix

· Artifact Creature — Bird · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

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Times Brought

578

Decks Running

314

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

167 instances

1.2%

Library

35.9%

Battlefield

44.3%

Graveyard

4.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 65 decks
2 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 12 decks
3 Urza, Chief Artificer 11 decks
4 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 10 decks
5 Indominus Rex, Alpha 10 decks
6 Satoru Umezawa 10 decks
7 Breya, Etherium Shaper 9 decks
8 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 9 decks
9 Golbez, Crystal Collector 8 decks
10 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 7 decks

The "good card" funnel

578 brought · 291 players

Brought to game

578

Ever drawn

150

Reached battlefield

124

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.3pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=100) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=331).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +3.2pp; 95% confidence interval -2.3pp to +8.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=124

18%

15%

33%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 24% (22 / 124 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 46%

932 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.