Live Play Data

Bilbo, Luckwearer // Burglar's Plot

· Legendary Creature — Halfling Rogue // Sorcery — Adventure · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

172

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=31

23%

10%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 10

On curve 29% (7 / 31 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 44%

The "good card" funnel

172 brought · 86 players

Brought to game

172

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 42% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.2pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=29) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=100).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 44% (n=17).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.7pp; 95% confidence interval -8.2pp to +25.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

54 instances

1.9%

Library

24.1%

Battlefield

40.7%

Graveyard

3.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Bilbo, Luckwearer

Legendary Creature — Halfling Rogue

Bilbo can't be blocked. Whenever Bilbo deals combat damage to a player, draw a card, then discard a card.

1 / 1

Burglar's Plot

Sorcery — Adventure

Exchange control of two target nonland permanents that share a card type. (Then exile this card. You may cast the creature later from exile.)

The Hobbit (HOB) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Anna Steinbauer

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.