Live Play Data

Bilbo's Gambit

· Instant · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

708

Decks Running

310

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=99

10%

60%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 21

On curve 1% (1 / 99 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

709 brought · 270 players

Brought to game

709

Ever drawn

159

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.8pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=88) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=438).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=55).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.8pp to +21.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

182 instances

2.2%

Library

6.0%

Battlefield

53.8%

Graveyard

6.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Bilbo's Gambit

Instant

Gift a Treasure (You may promise an opponent a gift as you cast this spell. If you do, they create a Treasure token before its other effects. It's an artifact with " {T}

, Sacrifice this token: Add one mana of any color.") Return target spell to its owner's hand. If the gift was promised, players can't cast spells this turn.

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Randy Gallegos

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.