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Black Waltz No. 3 card art
Card Preview

Black Waltz No. 3

{2} {B} {R} · Legendary Creature — Wizard · Final Fantasy (FIN)
0%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
161
Decks Running
89
In Decks
632
Decklist Inclusion
0%
Format
Card text
Black Waltz No. 3 card

Black Waltz No. 3

{2} {B} {R}
Legendary Creature — Wizard
Flying, deathtouch Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, Black Waltz No. 3 deals 2 damage to each opponent.
2 / 2
Final Fantasy (FIN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Lordigan

Final zone distribution

39 instances
2.6%
Library
35.9%
Battlefield
23.1%
Graveyard
5.1%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

161 brought · 87 players
Brought to game
161
Ever drawn
32
Reached battlefield
21
Still on board at game end
14

Once cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.5pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=17) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=106).

Observed gap +9.4pp; 95% confidence interval -13.5pp to +32.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=21
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
24%
T4
14%
T5
57%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11
On curve 24% (5 / 21 cast on T4)
21 of 100 times cast 21%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.