Live Play Data

Black Waltz No. 3

· Legendary Creature — Wizard · Final Fantasy (FIN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

382

Decks Running

199

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

67%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=70

11%

16%

20%

46%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 29% (11 / 70 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

382 brought · 187 players

Brought to game

382

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.7pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=49) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=249).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=26).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.2pp; 95% confidence interval -9.7pp to +16.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

96 instances

1.0%

Library

30.2%

Battlefield

38.5%

Graveyard

5.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 96 decks
2 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 30 decks
3 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 14 decks
4 Inalla, Archmage Ritualist 11 decks
5 Fire Lord Azula 7 decks
6 Abaddon the Despoiler 6 decks
7 Saruman, the White Hand 3 decks
8 Kess, Dissident Mage 2 decks
9 Marchesa, Dealer of Death 2 decks
10 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 2 decks

Card text

Black Waltz No. 3

Legendary Creature — Wizard

Flying, deathtouch Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, Black Waltz No. 3 deals 2 damage to each opponent.

2 / 2

Final Fantasy (FIN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Lordigan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.