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Bolt Bend card art
Live Play Data

Bolt Bend

{3} {R} · Instant · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)
6%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
4210
Decks Running
1631
Median Cast Turn
7
Drawn → Played
40%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=367
0%
T1
0%
T2
1%
T3
5%
T4
14%
T5
69%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 15
On curve 7% (20 / 367 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 19%

The "good card" funnel

4213 brought · 1258 players
Brought to game
4213
Ever drawn
912
Reached battlefield
367
Still on board at game end
38
≥ +3.2pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=345) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=2785).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=491).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.2pp; 95% confidence interval +3.2pp to +13.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1043 instances
5.2%
Library
3.6%
Battlefield
39.9%
Graveyard
7.8%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Bolt Bend card

Bolt Bend

{3} {R}
Instant
This spell costs {3} less to cast if you control a creature with power 4 or greater. Change the target of target spell or ability with a single target.
Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Yuhong Ding

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.