Burgeoning
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Burgeoning
Final zone distribution
248 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
23 decks
-
2
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
18 decks
-
3
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
17 decks
-
4
The Ur-Dragon
15 decks
-
5
Hakbal of the Surging Soul
14 decks
-
6
Omnath, Locus of Creation
13 decks
-
7
Homer, the Hermit
12 decks
-
8
Omnath, Locus of Rage
12 decks
-
9
Azusa, Lost but Seeking
11 decks
-
10
Grizzlegom, Hurloon Hero
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
1040 brought · 384 playersOnce cast, 88% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=144) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=615).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=38).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -2.8pp to +6.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.