Live Play Data

Carmen, Cruel Skymarcher

· Legendary Creature — Vampire Soldier · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

262

Decks Running

110

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=55

13%

22%

44%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 47% (12 / 55 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

262 brought · 108 players

Brought to game

262

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 51% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -14.4pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=33) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=172).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=27).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -14.4pp to +15.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances

1.4%

Library

25.4%

Battlefield

35.2%

Graveyard

4.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Edgar Markov 26 decks
2 Clavileño, First of the Blessed 21 decks
3 Terra, Herald of Hope 10 decks
4 Ardbert, Warrior of Darkness 8 decks
5 Elenda, the Dusk Rose 5 decks
6 Malik, Grim Manipulator 4 decks
7 Dihada, Binder of Wills 3 decks
8 Amalia Benavides Aguirre 2 decks
9 Ayli, Eternal Pilgrim 2 decks
10 Felisa, Fang of Silverquill 2 decks

Card text

Carmen, Cruel Skymarcher

Legendary Creature — Vampire Soldier

Flying Whenever a player sacrifices a permanent, put a +1/+1 counter on Carmen and you gain 1 life. Whenever Carmen attacks, return up to one target permanent card with mana value less than or equal to Carmen's power from your graveyard to the battlefield.

2 / 2

The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Randy Vargas

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.