Live Play Data

Carnifex Demon

· Creature — Phyrexian Demon · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

506

Decks Running

242

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=69

55%

T6-9

39%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 11 · max 18

On curve 28% (15 / 69 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

506 brought · 221 players

Brought to game

506

Ever drawn

129

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.9pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=60) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=312).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 13% (n=52).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.9pp to +22.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

141 instances

5.7%

Library

18.4%

Battlefield

31.2%

Graveyard

9.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Carnifex Demon

Creature — Phyrexian Demon

Flying This creature enters with two -1/-1 counters on it. {B}

, Remove a -1/-1 counter from this creature: Put a -1/-1 counter on each other creature.

6 / 6

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Aleksi Briclot

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.