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Carnifex Demon

· Creature — Phyrexian Demon · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

138

Decks Running

In Decks

553

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

45 instances

4.4%

Library

26.7%

Battlefield

22.2%

Graveyard

11.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 42 decks
2 The Reaper, King No More 7 decks
3 Hapatra, Vizier of Poisons 6 decks
4 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 1 decks
5 Be'lakor, the Dark Master 1 decks
6 Eddie Brock // Venom, Lethal Protector 1 decks
7 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 1 decks
8 Kaalia of the Vast 1 decks
9 Massacre Girl, Known Killer 1 decks
10 M.O.D.O.K. 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

138 brought · 57 players

Brought to game

138

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -11.6pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=22) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=85).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 5% (n=19) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +8.1pp; 95% confidence interval -11.6pp to +27.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23

52%

T6-9

39%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 11 · max 18

On curve 43% (8 / 23 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

23 of 100 times cast 23%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.