collections_bookmark Part of Lorwyn Eclipsed
Carnifex Demon card art
Live Play Data

Carnifex Demon

{4} {B} {B} · Creature — Phyrexian Demon · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
308
Decks Running
155
Median Cast Turn
8
Drawn → Played
57%
Format

First-cast turn

n=45
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
2%
T4
9%
T5
53%
T6-9
36%
T10+
Median 8 P25 6 · P75 11 · max 18
On curve 38% (12 / 45 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

308 brought · 142 players
Brought to game
308
Ever drawn
79
Reached battlefield
45
Still on board at game end
18

Once cast, 40% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=41) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=184).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 9% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.2pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +23.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

87 instances
5.7%
Library
20.7%
Battlefield
33.3%
Graveyard
10.3%
Exile
Card text
Carnifex Demon card

Carnifex Demon

{4} {B} {B}
Creature — Phyrexian Demon
Flying This creature enters with two -1/-1 counters on it. {B}, Remove a -1/-1 counter from this creature: Put a -1/-1 counter on each other creature.
6 / 6
Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Aleksi Briclot

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.