collections_bookmark Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
Case of the Locked Hothouse card art
Card Preview

Case of the Locked Hothouse

{3} {G} · Enchantment — Case · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
132
Decks Running
68
In Decks
739
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

32 instances
59.4%
Battlefield
21.9%
Graveyard
18.8%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

136 brought · 62 players
Brought to game
136
Ever drawn
31
Reached battlefield
20
Still on board at game end
19

Once cast, 95% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -22.5pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=20) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=95).

Observed gap -4.9pp; 95% confidence interval -22.5pp to +12.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=20
0%
T1
0%
T2
20%
T3
20%
T4
10%
T5
45%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median 5.5 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 11
On curve 40% (4 / 20 cast on T4)
20 of 100 times cast 20%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.