Live Play Data

Cephalid Facetaker

· Creature — Octopus Rogue · New Capenna Commander (NCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

206

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

64%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=29

17%

10%

17%

38%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 24% (5 / 29 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 46%

The "good card" funnel

206 brought · 85 players

Brought to game

206

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.2pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=25) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=138).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.5pp; 95% confidence interval -8.2pp to +27.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

45 instances

37.8%

Battlefield

28.9%

Graveyard

4.4%

Exile

28.9%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Cephalid Facetaker

Creature — Octopus Rogue

This creature can't be blocked. At the beginning of combat on your turn, you may have this creature become a copy of another target creature until end of turn, except it's 1/4 and has "This creature can't be blocked."

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New Capenna Commander (NCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Uriah Voth

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.