Choked Estuary
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Choked Estuary
Final zone distribution
508 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
186 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
127 decks
-
3
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
62 decks
-
4
Sauron, the Dark Lord
43 decks
-
5
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
43 decks
-
6
Captain N'ghathrod
35 decks
-
7
Gisa and Geralf
29 decks
-
8
Inquisitor Greyfax
27 decks
-
9
Marneus Calgar
21 decks
-
10
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
21 decks
The "good card" funnel
2083 brought · 914 playersOnce cast, 97% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=287) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=1128).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=64).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.8pp; 95% confidence interval -1.5pp to +5.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.