Choked Estuary
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
155 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
52 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
47 decks
-
3
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
23 decks
-
4
Sauron, the Dark Lord
14 decks
-
5
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
12 decks
-
6
Inquisitor Greyfax
9 decks
-
7
Captain N'ghathrod
8 decks
-
8
Davros, Dalek Creator
8 decks
-
9
Marneus Calgar
8 decks
-
10
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
629 brought · 308 playersOnce cast, 96% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=101) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=410).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=25) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +-0.0pp; 95% confidence interval -5.4pp to +5.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=109Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.