Conjurer's Closet
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
65 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom
5 decks
-
2
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines
5 decks
-
3
Be'lakor, the Dark Master
4 decks
-
4
Brago, King Eternal
3 decks
-
5
Deadpool, Trading Card
3 decks
-
6
Garland, Royal Kidnapper
3 decks
-
7
Norin the Wary
3 decks
-
8
Roxanne, Starfall Savant
3 decks
-
9
Saheeli, Radiant Creator
3 decks
-
10
Aang, at the Crossroads // Aang, Destined Savior
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
225 brought · 119 playersOnce cast, 81% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=32) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=140).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=24) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +10.5pp; 95% confidence interval +2.0pp to +19.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=36Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.