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Count on Luck card art
Live Play Data

Count on Luck

{R} {R} {R} · Enchantment · Aetherdrift (DFT)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
307
Decks Running
145
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
60%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=39
0%
T1
3%
T2
18%
T3
8%
T4
13%
T5
51%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 20
On curve 21% (7 / 39 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

307 brought · 132 players
Brought to game
307
Ever drawn
65
Reached battlefield
39
Still on board at game end
24

Once cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -16.2pp

Players who cast this card win 19% of the time (n=38) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=217).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -16.2pp to +10.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

68 instances
7.4%
Library
35.3%
Battlefield
20.6%
Graveyard
4.4%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Count on Luck card

Count on Luck

{R} {R} {R}
Enchantment
At the beginning of your upkeep, exile the top card of your library. You may play that card this turn.
Aetherdrift (DFT) · Rare · Illustrated by Michal Ivan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.