Live Play Data

Count on Luck

· Enchantment · Aetherdrift (DFT)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

639

Decks Running

318

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=72

24%

17%

14%

33%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 23

On curve 25% (17 / 72 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

639 brought · 296 players

Brought to game

639

Ever drawn

133

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 72% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.9pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=67) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=435).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=53).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -13.9pp to +7.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

145 instances

3.4%

Library

35.9%

Battlefield

22.8%

Graveyard

7.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 157 decks
2 Clive, Ifrit's Dominant // Ifrit, Warden of Inferno 34 decks
3 Krenko, Mob Boss 12 decks
4 Kratos, God of War 6 decks
5 Norin the Wary 6 decks
6 Gornog, the Red Reaper 5 decks
7 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-Spider 4 decks
8 Daredevil, Fearless Fighter 3 decks
9 Knuckles the Echidna 3 decks
10 Nico Minoru, Runaway 3 decks

Card text

Count on Luck

Enchantment

At the beginning of your upkeep, exile the top card of your library. You may play that card this turn.

Aetherdrift (DFT) · Rare · Illustrated by Michal Ivan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.