Live Play Data

Crux of Fate

· Sorcery · Commander 2017 (C17)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1858

Decks Running

748

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=250

12%

63%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 20

On curve 20% (29 / 250 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

1858 brought · 679 players

Brought to game

1858

Ever drawn

428

Reached battlefield

250

Still on board at game end

≥ -4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=217) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1160).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=152).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.0pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +6.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

474 instances

4.4%

Library

4.4%

Battlefield

52.1%

Graveyard

7.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Ur-Dragon 275 decks
2 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 166 decks
3 Tiamat 37 decks
4 Rivaz of the Claw 25 decks
5 Nicol Bolas, the Ravager // Nicol Bolas, the Arisen 20 decks
6 Scion of the Ur-Dragon 16 decks
7 Kaalia of the Vast 13 decks
8 Sivitri, Dragon Master 9 decks
9 Korvold, Fae-Cursed King 8 decks
10 Morophon, the Boundless 8 decks

Card text

Crux of Fate

Sorcery

Choose one — • Destroy all Dragon creatures. • Destroy all non-Dragon creatures.

Commander 2017 (C17) · Rare · Illustrated by Michael Komarck

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.