Live Play Data

Damnable Pact

· Sorcery · New Capenna Commander (NCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

451

Decks Running

264

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

49%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=46

11%

13%

52%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 17

Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

452 brought · 258 players

Brought to game

452

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -4.1pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=42) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=296).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=44).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.2pp; 95% confidence interval -4.1pp to +24.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

111 instances

2.7%

Library

8.1%

Battlefield

47.7%

Graveyard

9.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sheoldred, the Apocalypse 73 decks
2 Witherbloom, the Balancer 45 decks
3 Edgar Markov 26 decks
4 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 14 decks
5 Strefan, Maurer Progenitor 8 decks
6 Anhelo, the Painter 6 decks
7 Zaxara, the Exemplary 6 decks
8 Yurlok of Scorch Thrash 5 decks
9 Zenos yae Galvus // Shinryu, Transcendent Rival 5 decks
10 Belbe, Corrupted Observer 4 decks

Card text

Damnable Pact

Sorcery

Target player draws X cards and loses X life.

New Capenna Commander (NCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Zack Stella

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.