Live Play Data

Deflecting Palm

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1313

Decks Running

589

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=184

57%

T6-9

33%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 21

On curve 1% (0 / 184 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 17%

The "good card" funnel

1313 brought · 545 players

Brought to game

1313

Ever drawn

319

Reached battlefield

184

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.2pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=171) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=862).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=122).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.3pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

352 instances

3.7%

Library

11.4%

Battlefield

41.2%

Graveyard

7.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Queen Marchesa 77 decks
2 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 29 decks
3 Lightning, Army of One 25 decks
4 General Ferrous Rokiric 18 decks
5 Pramikon, Sky Rampart 17 decks
6 Kaalia of the Vast 13 decks
7 Iroh, Tea Master 12 decks
8 Lorehold, the Historian 12 decks
9 Isshin, Two Heavens as One 11 decks
10 Firesong and Sunspeaker 10 decks

Card text

Deflecting Palm

Instant

The next time a source of your choice would deal damage to you this turn, prevent that damage. If damage is prevented this way, Deflecting Palm deals that much damage to that source's controller.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.