Live Play Data

Deflecting Palm

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

942

Decks Running

421

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=129

61%

T6-9

30%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 18

On curve 1% (0 / 129 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 16%

The "good card" funnel

942 brought · 399 players

Brought to game

942

Ever drawn

222

Reached battlefield

129

Still on board at game end

≥ +2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=121) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=628).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=83).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.4pp; 95% confidence interval +2.9pp to +19.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

245 instances

4.1%

Library

10.6%

Battlefield

44.5%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Queen Marchesa 55 decks
2 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 24 decks
3 Lightning, Army of One 16 decks
4 General Ferrous Rokiric 15 decks
5 Pramikon, Sky Rampart 13 decks
6 Lorehold, the Historian 9 decks
7 Kaalia of the Vast 8 decks
8 Thorin, King of Durin's Folk 8 decks
9 Firesong and Sunspeaker 7 decks
10 Gisela, Blade of Goldnight 7 decks

Card text

Deflecting Palm

Instant

The next time a source of your choice would deal damage to you this turn, prevent that damage. If damage is prevented this way, Deflecting Palm deals that much damage to that source's controller.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.