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Deflecting Palm

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

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Times Brought

453

Decks Running

226

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Deflecting Palm

Instant

The next time a source of your choice would deal damage to you this turn, prevent that damage. If damage is prevented this way, Deflecting Palm deals that much damage to that source's controller.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Final zone distribution

94 instances

1.1%

Library

10.6%

Battlefield

40.4%

Graveyard

3.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

453 brought · 210 players

Brought to game

453

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -15.8pp

Players who cast this card win 19% of the time (n=36) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=275).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -7.5pp; 95% confidence interval -15.8pp to +0.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=45

11%

51%

T6-9

29%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 17

On curve 2% (1 / 45 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 19%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.